捡了一个扰动贴 前面那个打不开，图还没有 ，等等


貌似度娘又有点抽风。。。

东太给力啊

20120613.0915.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.95EINVEST.20kts-1009mb-110N-1010W.100pc

A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED
TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES LITTLE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.





这个可以撤了。。

复活了？

NHC：20%

和CARLOTTA的残骸合并 不过没什么希望。。




60% 居然开始给力了



1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.



螺旋性肩胛,CISK机制启动