留

？！什么节奏！！！

INIT 17/2100Z 15.4N 99.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 18/0600Z 16.1N 99.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 18/1800Z 16.7N 99.3W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 19/0600Z 17.2N 99.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 19/1800Z 17.5N 99.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
72H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED
24h之内登陆，刚登陆时预报有45kt的强度

反超西太

西太不努力，中东太已爆之，21>20，如果西太冬天再不出个像Gay的玩意，就悲剧了，除了155>140无优势。

EP, 20, 2014101800, , BEST, 0, 157N, 990W, 35, 1004, TS
即将命名

距离党首的真名天子22E只剩两个了

Although the
environment is quite favorable for intensification, the cyclone
doesn't have much time before it makes landfall. Thus, the official
forecast keeps the previous peak intensity prediction of 45 kt,
which lies on the higher side of the consensus.
Deep-layer southerly flow should steer Trudy generally northward
until landfall within 24 hours. Guidance has trended a little
slower after 12 hours, and the new NHC forecast reflects that trend.
Although there is still some chance that the cyclone lingers near
the coast, the surface circulation will probably get disrupted by
the very high terrain, so dissipation is expected in 36-48 hours.
INIT 18/0300Z 16.0N 99.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 18/1200Z 16.5N 99.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 19/0000Z 16.8N 99.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 19/1200Z 17.0N 99.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
上望45kt

EP, 20, 2014101806, , BEST, 0, 162N, 989W, 45, 1001, TS
06z强度由40kt修至45kt

INIT 18/0900Z 16.2N 98.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 18/1800Z 16.4N 98.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
24H 19/0600Z 16.5N 98.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 19/1800Z 16.6N 98.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
09z NHC发报时强度提升为50kt，并上望55kt。现在距离陆地已非常近，预计12h之内登陆

一张为23z，一张为09z，个人把那个小洞定位中心（高层上的）
个人评价60kts，近飓风水平

只可惜快登陆了