前期先吃白鹿冷水坑过菲到南海再爆发登陆🐷三？（远期预报

一路向西？

99W LOW

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.8N
145.1E, APPROXIMATELY 394 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 230612Z SSMIS F-16 91GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE, SHOWS BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING A BROAD AND
DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 230010Z METOP-B ASCAT
PASS SIMILARLY REVEALS THE LLC TO BE VERY DISORGANIZED AND SHOWS 10
TO 15 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LLC. 99W IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH VERY WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND
MODERATE (20 TO 25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL TRACK GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWEST AND
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

刚才中央台的天气预报好像提到了99w。万一没成台不是很没面子

31号不要来粤西啊，我结婚

99W INVEST 190823 1200 7.5N 144.3E WPAC 15 1008

北部湾海温那么高，要是进北部湾说不定会二次增强

时间还早

最新风场

99W INVEST 190823 1200 7.9N 144.0E WPAC 15 1008

这货成台后名字是什么？杨柳吗？

继续奶，不要奶死了

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 146E WEST SLOWLY.