EP, 95, 2019100100, , BEST, 0, 160N, 1255W, 15, 0, DB
EP, 95, 2019100106, , BEST, 0, 158N, 1248W, 15, 0, DB
EP, 95, 2019100112, , BEST, 0, 156N, 1242W, 15, 0, DB
EP, 95, 2019100118, , BEST, 0, 155N, 1235W, 20, 1009, DB

1. A low pressure system located about 1200 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant
development of this disturbance is not likely while it moves
northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

补报
EP, 95, 2019100406, , BEST, 0, 139N, 1254W, 30, 1008, LO
EP, 95, 2019100412, , BEST, 0, 145N, 1258W, 25, 1008, LO

再次升
1. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more organized and
persistent during the morning near a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Some additional development of this system
is possible over the next day or two before it interacts with, and
possibly merges with, another disturbance to its west. The low
is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

维持30/30
1. Showers and thunderstorms have decreased substantially during the
past several hours near a low pressure system located about 1200
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Some development of this system is still possible over
the next day or two before it interacts with, and possibly merges
with, another disturbance west of it. The low is expected to move
northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

95E INVEST 191005 1800 16.6N 129.3W EPAC 30 1008

1. Satellite images indicate that the circulation associated with an
area of low pressure located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California has become less defined, and
the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is not very well
organized. This system is expected to move northwestward at about
10 mph and merge with another disturbance to its southwest over the
next couple of days, and the likelihood of development continues
to decrease.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

对流复活