TXPZ29 KNES 031821
TCSENP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)
B. 03/1800Z
C. 13.4N
D. 125.5W
E. FIVE/GOES-W
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SHEARED SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY LOOSELY DEFINED LLCC
LOCATED NEAR OR UNDER SMALL COLD OVERCAST YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. MET AND
PT AGREE. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...LEVINE

95E INVEST 191004 0000 13.6N 125.3W EPAC 30 1008

TXPZ29 KNES 040019
TCSENP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)
B. 04/0000Z
C. 13.8N
D. 125.3W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULAR, TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD
LINES AND A CENTER ON THE EDGE OF A VERY SMALL COLD OVERCAST RESULTING
IN A DT OF 1.5. PT AGREES WHILE MET IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON PT BECAUSE
CONVECTION HAS LACKED PERSISTENCE.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK

TXPZ29 KNES 040619
TCSENP
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E)
B. 04/0600Z
C. 14.0N
D. 125.5W
E. THREE/GOES-W
F. T1.5/1.5/D0.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...TIGHTLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES NEAR A VERY SMALL OVERCAST
RESULTS IN DT=1.5. MET=1.0 AND PT=1.5. FT IS BASED ON PT DUE TO
UNCERTAINTY IN LLC POSITION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...BOLL

1. A low pressure system located about 1200 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant
development of this disturbance is not likely while it moves
northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

95E INVEST 191004 1200 14.5N 125.8W EPAC 25 1008

补报
EP, 95, 2019100406, , BEST, 0, 139N, 1254W, 30, 1008, LO
EP, 95, 2019100412, , BEST, 0, 145N, 1258W, 25, 1008, LO

EP, 95, 2019100418, , BEST, 0, 148N, 1262W, 25, 1008, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 120, 50, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 036,

EP, 95, 2019100418, , BEST, 0, 147N, 1261W, 30, 1008, LO

再次升
1. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little more organized and
persistent during the morning near a low pressure system located
about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Some additional development of this system
is possible over the next day or two before it interacts with, and
possibly merges with, another disturbance to its west. The low
is expected to move northwestward at about 10 mph during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

维持30/30
1. Showers and thunderstorms have decreased substantially during the
past several hours near a low pressure system located about 1200
miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Some development of this system is still possible over
the next day or two before it interacts with, and possibly merges
with, another disturbance west of it. The low is expected to move
northwestward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

EP, 95, 2019100500, , BEST, 0, 153N, 1266W, 30, 1008, LO